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21st June is being billed as ‘Freedom Day’ for England. But the planned lifting of coronavirus restrictions for the big day is looking less certain as time passes, according to prominent scientists. They say a fourth wave is almost upon us. If it arrives we can’t drop the covid restrictions we’ve been under on the planned date.
Monday saw 3383 lab-confirmed cases in the UK, the 6th day in a row where we’ve seen 3000 or more new daily cases. The Indian variant B.1.617.2 – also called the delta variant – is probably at the root of as much as 75% of the new cases, according to health secretary Matt Hancock.
Ravi Gupta from the University of Cambridge, who is a member of the New and Emerging Respiratory Virus Threats Advisory Group, told the BBC that a delay of just a few weeks will have a significant impact on the country’s war against the virus. He says a temporary delay of a month might well be enough to stop the surge in cases of the new variant.
All this sits against a background where almost 75% of the adult population has had their first jab and almost half have had both. Despite this good news, plenty of people are still vulnerable. According to Adam Finn, a member of the Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation, the country remains at risk and nobody should feel the job ‘is done’, because many people have neither had the virus nor been vaccinated against it. At the same time Mark Walport, who used to be chief scientific adviser to the government, says Boris Johnson needs more data before making a final decision.
It’s clear that right now, at this moment in time, the situation is delicately balanced. We have a new, more transmissible variant that we don’t know much about. We’ve seen changes in people’s behaviour after restrictions were relaxed in mid-May, the impact of which will only just be coming through. And while the vaccination programme is a success, plenty of people remain unvaccinated.
Add all this together and the message is clear. While those in power hope there won’t be a fourth wave in England, it isn’t impossible. And we might not be free on 21st June after all.
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WHO director-general Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus has asked countries to join the effort to vaccinate 10% of people in every nation by September, and 30% by the end of 2021. So far the global distribution programme has given 72 million vaccine doses to 125 countries, which stacks up to just 1% of their populations. It matters because until everyone on the planet is vaccinated, covid won’t go away.
Dogs are proving their medical worth yet again. Not only can they sniff out cancers, dogs can also smell when someone’s been infected with covid. This could help with accurate airport screening for flights from high-risk countries.
Nine regions of England are set to pilot innovative ways to support people in self-isolation when they’ve tested positive. Ideas include alternative accommodation for people who live in crowded homes. On the down side there’s no recommendation for an increase in financial support.
India’s official covid-19 death toll has passed the 300,000 mark, with surges of infections swamping poor people in the countryside. Case numbers in cities seem to be dropping.
At the end of May the worldwide covid-19 death toll passed 3.47 million. The number of confirmed cases is more than 167.2 million, but experts say the real number is likely to be a lot higher.
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