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Covid-19 cases are rising quickly again. But in the UK we find ourselves in a very odd situation. The government isn’t giving warnings or advice. They’re keeping an eye on things, but that’s about it. Plenty of ordinary people believe the pandemic is effectively over, and fewer of us than ever seem to be taking precautions. At the same time healthcare experts and scientists are saying – mostly in vain – that it’s wise to revert to socialising outdoors for a while.
If you run a business, whether it’s customer-facing or not, and you’re wondering what to do about BA.4 and BA.5, you need the facts to base sensible commercial decisions on. Here they are.
The latest news about omicron sub-variants BA.4 and BA.5
Official government data says 109,908 people tested positive for covid in England in the seven days up to 24th June. That’s a hike of 37% on the week before. The real picture is likely to be a lot worse simply because the government is only tracking positive tests logged on its website these days, a problem that’s made worse thanks to stopping free tests.
The Zoe Covid study, which is more reliable than government figures and has been collecting data throughout the pandemic, says there were an estimated 308, 999 new symptomatic cases in the UK on 1st July alone. This means more than 3 million of us probably have symptomatic covid right now. It also looks like daily symptomatic infections rose 150% in June. Now they’re at the highest level they’ve ever been, apart from the three worst weeks. It’s all down to the extra-infectious new sub-variants. So what are the signs?
The symptoms of BA.4 and BA.5
While some people are reporting symptoms like meningitis, including neck pain, a stiff neck, and sensitivity to bright lights, according to the NHS most people with BA.4 or .5 are experiencing these symptoms:
What’s the difference between BA1 /2 and BA4 /5?
BA.5 and .5 are very different from BA.1 and BA.2. According to the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control they both have new amino-acids in their spike receptor that weren’t there in earlier covid strains. This makes them dominant over BA.1 and .2 and the differences, it appears, are turning out to represent a ‘significant change’ in the sub-variants’ properties.
How dangerous are BA.4 and BA.5?
Both variants are more infectious and better at evading immunity than the strains we’ve seen before. But there’s no evidence either causes more severe illness, according to the UK Health Security Agency or UKHSA. They say BA.5 is growing just over 35% faster than BA.2, and BA.4 is growing just over 19% faster.
This suggests BA.5 is already well on the way to becoming the dominant UK variant.
Is there a rise in hospital admissions yet?
Yes. As the UKHSA’s chief medical advisor says “We have seen a rise in hospital admissions in line with community infections but vaccinations are continuing to keep ICU admissions and deaths at low levels.”
What do medical experts recommend?
The advice from the UKHSA is, as the new variants spread, is that it’s ‘more important than ever that we all remain alert, take precautions, and ensure that we’re up to date with Covid-19 vaccinations’. They say our jabs are still the best defence against serious illness. Another expert, this time a virologist at the University of Warwick, says the rise in cases is worrying, and there’s no room for complacency.
Where have the new sub-variants turned up?
We’re seeing both new variants turning up in Indonesia, Thailand, Australia, the USA and many more places. Cases have risen in 110 countries, worldwide covid infections have increased by 20%, and deaths have risen in three of the six WHO regions.
Is there any good news?
Yes. Portugal and South Africa have already been through ‘significant’ BA.4 and BA.5 waves, which peaked without a big increase in severe disease, simply because enough people had been vaccinated. The hope is we have the same experience here in the UK.
As the UKHSA says, so far vaccination means that the rise in cases is not translating to a rise in severe illness and deaths. If you haven’t been jabbed, everyone in the know says now’s the time to get yourself protected.
How to protect your business from the risks presented by unvaccinated people?
With so many of us back at work in the normal way how do you, as an employer, keep your employees, visitors and customers safe from infection or re-infection? Our UVC light fittings and mobile sterilisers do a brilliant job of reliably cleaning the air and surfaces, killing covid quickly.
Some work when people are out of a room, others work perfectly safely with people present. Both will help keep everyone safe from the new variants and, as a result, help you do your bit to help prevent even worse variants potentially emerging.