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Is it going up or is it going down? Covid cases are in flux around the world at the moment, with some countries experiencing surges and others experiencing fewer cases. But the picture is muddied by different nations’ approaches to lockdowns, restrictions, masks, distancing, and testing. There’s also news about an enhanced covid risk for people who live with air pollution. Let’s take a look at the global covid picture for week four April 2022.
Covid cases drop worldwide... or do they?
On 21st April global cases decreased by 24% week on week, with around 5 million new covid cases were reported worldwide between 11th and 17th April. Is this 100% good news or is there bad news hidden in there somewhere?
The reduction has taken place in all of the six regions monitored by the WHO. The biggest drop is in the Western Pacific, with a 28% week on week fall. At the same time covid deaths fell by 12% across the world.
The WHO, however, continues to recommend caution. They say changing testing regimes mean there are fewer cases being detected in the first place, which means it could be a misleading result. England has scrapped free universal testing, while rules around free tests changing elsewhere. In some countries, for example Northern Ireland, tests are still more widely available.
India detects new variants
Bengaluru is the capital and the biggest city of the Indian state of Karnataka, home to more than 8 million people. Two new variants of covid have been detected there and the wider state’s Test Positivity Rate has just exceeded 1%, the highest for over a month. The BA.2.10 and BA.2.12 sub variants found there are related to the Omicron sub-variant BA.2.
The mutant variant XE is also loose in India, more transmissible than Omicron BA.1 and BA.2, especially among people who have been vaccinated. Unvaccinated children are catching it too, but apparently the symptoms are mild. XE was first detected in the UK but is now being reported elsewhere. XE was found in England during January 2022. The variant is spreading via community transmission, with most cases in eastern England, London, and the South East. The growth rate of these variants is 12.6% more than BA.2. XE has turned up in Japan as well, brought in by a woman travelling from the USA.
WHO tracks two more new variants
The WHO is also tracking two more new omicron sub-variants called BA.4 and BA.5, to check whether they’re more infectious, more dangerous, or both. They both have ‘additional mutations’ that need to be studied and understood. So far they have turned up in South Africa, Scotland, England, Botswana and Denmark, in fully vaccinated people aged 30-50, and the symptoms appear ‘mild’.
Exposure to air pollution makes it more likely you’ll catch covid
A team led by Zhebin Yu at the Karolinska Institute in Stockholm, Sweden studies people aged on average 25 who tested positive between May 2020 and March 2021. It looks like exposure to ‘airborne particulate matter and black carbon, also known as soot’ may increase our risk of catching covid.
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