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It’s time to wish all our customers and prospective clients a wonderful festive break. We hope you have a lovely Christmas and an enjoyable, successful and profitable 2023.
We’ve spent 2022 fitting our anti-covid lights and mobile units in a host of different commercial settings, supporting business owners who want to keep their employees safe and well, and protect people who visit their premises. We have no idea, obviously, how many people have NOT caught covid, winter vomiting virus, flu and all the other nasties thanks to our UVC disinfection technology, but we get a lot of pleasure from imagining it!
Let’s take a look at what the experts are saying about the future of covid in 2023.
Covid runs free in China
China has reported its first three covid related fatalities but there are doubts around the accuracy of the official count, which seems far too low when there are independent reports of funeral homes being unusually busy. The virus is ripping through various Chinese cities now their strict controls have been relaxed but, apparently, in major cities many people are still staying in.
The nation’s chief epidemiologist says China should expect a series of covid waves. Wu Zunyou says the current wave will probably run from now until mid-January. A second wave will follow soon afterwards thanks to hundreds of millions of people travelling to celebrate the Lunar New Year from 21st January. Then there will be a third wave running from late February to mid-March.
International travel means covid is likely to re-emerge in other places around the world. We just have to hope no dangerous variants or subvariants emerge from China, which has a total population of around 1.413 billion and relatively low vaccination levels. Some say there could be more than a million deaths there during 2023.
WHO predictions for worldwide covid in 2023
According to worldometers, the total global covid death toll so far is 6,672,313 (19th Dec 2022). So what’s going to happen next? Let’s take a look at what the World Health Organization says.
The WHO is hoping covid will stop being a global public health emergency some time during 2023. They also say the virus is here to stay, and will need managing along with other everyday respiratory illnesses.
The current weekly death toll, which is around 20% of what it was earlier on in the pandemic, is in their opinion still far too high. As the WHO’s chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said
“Last week, less than 10,000 people lost their lives. That's still 10,000 too many and there is still a lot that all countries can do to save lives."
The WHO will be discussing the state of the pandemic in January 2023, at which point they’ll decide if covid remains a ‘public health emergency of international concern’ or not. If it is safe to do so they might declare an end to the pandemic’s ‘emergency phase’.
The WHO is still expecting waves but there are fewer cases, hospitalisations and deaths, and the deaths are ‘largely’ people who haven’t been vaccinated or not had the full course of vaccines. Apparently, while over 13 billion jabs have been given, about 30% of people in the world haven’t been vaccinated at all.
What does New Scientist magazine say?
What else went on in 2022? Many countries decided to end almost all their measures to control the virus, but it is still causing waves of illness across the globe. The end of Februarys saw Iceland move from zero covid to ‘herd immunity’, letting covid spread while shielding vulnerable people. A month later cases had more than doubled. It was a controversial move but other nations in the EU followed suit.
The omicron variant set off a surge in global cases and Hong Kong suffered the worst because it hadn’t vaccinated many of its older people. Hospitals were overwhelmed and death rates were unusually high. Omicron caused record numbers of infections in the UK too but ‘living with covid’ became the norm. When widespread testing ended the picture was hard to see but the Office for National Statistics kept counting. By early November this year an estimated 2.1 million people in the UK had long covid. The US dropped its own measures in 2022 and Australia and New Zealand fully reopened their borders.
As a New Scientist article from 14th December concludes: “In the face of waning immunity and an ever-evolving virus, it is clear that herd immunity won’t be possible anywhere without better vaccines. Going into 2023, big questions remain over the long-term health impacts of the virus and the best way to manage successive waves of infection.”
Support a non-covid 2023 with our technology
Are you risk-aware or risk-averse? Will you be carrying on like there’s no covid any more, or are you more inclined to protect your employees and everyone else who comes to your premises with our smart, low cost, simple and cheap-to-run UVC tech?