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Just when you thought it was safe to go into the water... it’s sad to see England’s case numbers increasing again after the public has worked so hard to keep things under control. So what’s the story?
The latest results from a random swab testing survey by the Office for National Statistics reveals a rise in cases, the first in five weeks. On the bright side rates remain low. One in 1110 people in England had covid-19 in the week up to 15th May, an increase over one in 1340 people the week before. England’s R number has also gone up a bit, now standing at between 0.9 and 1.1 compared to 0.8 to 1.1 in the previous week.
As a whole the UK revealed its highest daily increase in covid-19 infections in a month on 20th May, when 2874 new cases were confirmed. We’re also seeing clusters of the so-called Indian variant B.1.617.2 which are, according to New Scientist magazine, ‘growing rapidly’.
Public Health England says cases caused by the Indian strain have risen to 3424, up from 1313 last week. Andrew Hayward at University College London says this means the Indian strain can ‘circulate very effectively’. As a member of the UK government’s Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies, SAGE, he also predicts the UK may be about to enter a fourth wave, as do many other experts in the EU and at home. Yet again, we could be in for a rocky ride.
At the same time a £2.6m government funded test project aims to deal with Covid transmission among low paid workers in areas where rates are still high. The idea is to give people who need to self-isolate the support they need. Those living in the north west of England, an area that suffers from more unemployment and economic equality than most, have been tipped as more likely to suffer from the overall impact of the pandemic. And GPs who have caught the virus, and are unable to work because of Long Covid symptoms, are demanding ‘fair compensation’ via their Unions.
New Long Covid stats
Apparently about one in seven people who catch the virus end up with Long Covid symptoms, and younger, healthier people are at more risk of Long Covid than anyone else. In the USA a study looked at almost 267,000 adults who had Covid between January and October 2020 and had received a diagnosis of one of 50 conditions six months after testing positive. 14% of them had at least one symptom from the list, which included chronic respiratory failure, heart rhythm problems, diabetes, anxiety, fatigue and memory loss.
The numbers tally with other studies, which show that almost one in seven UK residents testing positive for Covid are still suffering symptoms three months later. The study carefully compared the survivors of covid against the general population and those with another respiratory condition, for example a cold, revealing how people who had suffered from Covid were ‘more at risk of ongoing health issues’ than people in the other groups.
African death rates are above the global average
It’s sad to see average death rates in critically ill covid patients falling above the global average in ten African countries. The research was published in The Lancet and analysed data from more than 3000 patients across 64 hospitals. It looks like 48.2 per cent of critically ill covid-19 patients in the 10 African nations died within 30 days of being admitted to hospital, compared to the global average of 31.5%.
Spain lets Brits in for holidays
Spain is removing covid restrictions for Brits travelling from the UK. Tourists won’t need a negative PCR test for coronavirus before they’ll be allowed in, but the UK government is advising against non-essential travel to Spain along with most other countries in the EU. If you’re returning home from Spain you still need to self-quarantine when you get back.
The latest on Oxford/AstraZeneca safety
The EU’s medicine regulator says those who develop blood clots with low platelets after their first Oxford/AstraZeneca dose should not have a second jab of the same vaccine.
Japan’s medical system is in deep trouble
Japan is suffering a ‘medical system collapse’ thanks to a new fourth wave blamed on the Kent variant. Hospitals and running out of beds and ventilators, and medical staff are exhausted. Officials are saying that the Olympics ‘must’ be cancelled.
Down Under, Melbourne suffers a potential outbreak
Australia has done comparatively well at keeping covid under control, but now there’s a potential outbreak in Melbourne with four new cases identified after three months of no cases at all.
And what does all this mean to your business?
We are not out of the woods. We could easily face another lockdown thanks to a post-summer fourth wave. And there’s no time like the present where covid disinfection is concerned. Our machines could prove the best investment you ever make. Let’s talk UVC!