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The number of official covid cases is declining across every continent, according to the WHO. So what’s the overall picture right now?
South Africa has just announced it’s about to enter a fifth wave of covid, seeing many more infections thanks to the new omicron BA.4 and BA.5 variants we talked about last week. The nation only came out from under its fourth wave three months ago but new cases have been on the up since mid-April. On 25th April alone the seven day new cases average doubled.
These new ‘sublineages’ account for 50% of all South Africa’s cases at the moment. Both of them are more transmissible than BA.2 and while hospitalisations are also rising, it’s good to know that intensive care admissions and deaths are stable.
The world slowly goes covid-blind
Reduced testing across the globe means the world is going “increasingly blind to patterns of transmission and evolution” of covid. As their Director General, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, said, “As many countries reduce testing, WHO is receiving less and less information about transmission and sequencing.” This means anything could happen and we won’t have much warning. Imagine an unusually dangerous new variant that spreads far and wide before being identified...
If you’re at risk of severe covid you’re also at risk of...
It looks like some of the ‘genetic variants’ that make some people suffer worse bouts of covid also increase their risk of other conditions like heart disease, blood clots and type 2 diabetes. On the other hand the genetic variants that cause auto-immune conditions, where the immune system attacks the body – things like rheumatoid arthritis – come with a lower risk of severe covid. The US study should help scientists develop future treatments for covid.
Denmark stops vaccinating
1st February saw Denmark being the first EU nation to drop all covid restrictions after saying covid was no longer a ‘critical threat’. Now Denmark has stopped vaccinating people. Apparently it’s a temporary move thanks to high levels of immunisation, a sharp fall in cases, and hospitalisation rates stabilising. But they say they’ll resume vaccinating in the autumn. Right now more than 82% of Danes are fully jabbed, defined as having had two vaccinations.
Hospitalised with omicron? It’s serious
Some say omicron is milder than delta. A new study disagrees. It looks like people hospitalised with the omicron variant need similar levels of respiratory support and intensive care to people hospitalised with delta. The research, in the USA, involved more than 2000 people who tested positive for covid. The results revealed:
On the bright side, people with omicron were less likely to be hospitalised in the first place, whether they’ve been jabbed or not. Just 3% of those with omicron were admitted to hospital, compared with 13% of those with delta. But as one of the research team said, “omicron patients who did need hospitalisation faced a risk of severe disease comparable to those hospitalised with delta. For many people, it is not a mild infection at all.”
Is covid going away in places like Denmark?
The virus is definitely falling back in some countries, but in others it is surging ahead. This means there’s still a high risk of a more infectious or dangerous variant arising somewhere in the world. A lack of travel restrictions means it’ll spread fast, far, and wide. Because testing seems to be falling back, with fewer tests done around the world and in some cases no information being collected, we risk having no real idea what’s going on.
The clever money? It’s on technology like ours, which safeguards people brilliantly and cuts the risk of transmission right down. If you could buy tech for a very reasonable price that killed more than 99% of the virus in the air and on surfaces, would you invest in it? If so, let’s talk.