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Influenza, usually called the flu, is a serious respiratory infection caused by coronaviruses. It can be very nasty, leaving you feeling profoundly weak and exhausted, and can lead to serious health complications and even death. No wonder the NHS offers free flu vaccinations to vulnerable people every year.
Early on in the pandemic, experts were very worried that the annual flu season would blend with covid to create a perfect storm of horror, with many more flu deaths as well as a surge in covid fatalities. Fortunately it hasn't happened. It looks a lot like the precautions we've all been taking against covid have also protected us from the flu this season. Right now incidences of the flu in the UK are at an all-time low. In fact some claim the flu virus has more or less disappeared this winter.
UK enjoys the lowest levels of flu for 130 years
As The Times and Sunday Times have confirmed, the number of people suffering from the flu has plummeted by 95%, leaving flu at the lowest levels for over 130 years. In the words of Simon de Lisignan, a professor of primary care at the University of Oxford and Director of the Royal College of GPs flu research and surveillance centre, the flu has been “almost completely wiped out”.
Week 2 January usually marks the grim peak of the annual flu season. This year we've seen a mere 1.1 per 100,000 people reporting flu-like illnesses to the NHS compared to the five year average of 27 per 100,000.
Of four million patients at 392 English GP surgeries, just 42 or 0.001% had a flu-like illness. The same goes for the USA. North America is also reporting 'unusually low' flu cases for the time of year, despite the fact that the nation has many more anti-maskers than here in the UK. Some are calling the drop a record-setting low, because the flu virus is not circulating in the population the way it usually does. Senior scientists who've been monitoring the flu since the 1990s have never seen anything like it.
Why the drop in flu cases shouldn't be a surprise
Just like covid, the flu is spread between people. If you steer clear of people it's very unlikely you'll catch it. While the flu season is far from over, the planet's flu activity maps already look very different compared to 2020. It shouldn't be a surprise really, since the flu virus spreads via respiratory droplets, similar to the new coronavirus. Because people are wearing masks, being socially distant and washing their hands more frequently, the flu is unable to get a toe-hold in the population.
There's more. Pre-covid, someone with flu wouldn't necessarily feel they had to stay home and steer clear of people. Flu sufferers with symptoms would often carry on regardless, only taking to their beds when they became too poorly to keep going. Covid has changed all that, and changed it profoundly. These days, if we feel symptoms we tend to stay in. As one doctor said, “In normal years, people who are symptomatic do not typically feel the same need to stay home.”
Children are usually influenza's best friend
The major contributor to every ordinary annual flu epidemic is children, who are particularly contagious because they make more influenza virus than adults, then go around shedding it for longer. The pandemic has meant this has stopped in its tracks, with our children either learning at home, or wearing masks and social distancing at school.
Will we beat the flu in years to come?
Almost a year of mask-wearing and many people feel it's the new normal. Plenty of us say we'll carry on wearing face masks into the future, even when we've all been vaccinated. And that could mean an end to the great annual flu epidemics that raged around the world, previously treated as a perfectly normal part of everyday life. The new habits we're developing could lessen flu hospitalisations and deaths in years to come, but only if enough of us keep wearing masks and keep on social distancing in future flu seasons.
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